⚽ Soccer Predictor

Soccer Predictor v1.0.0
Data updated daily

Simulation Live

2026 World Cup Projections

Discover real-time probabilities for group qualification and championship outcomes calculated using historical Elo ratings and Monte Carlo match engines.

WC
Tournament
2026 World Cup

Monte Carlo Projections

Based on 10,000 simulation runs. Last updated: 9/18/2026, 5:58:42 AM

How it works

  • The top two teams in each of the 12 groups advance to the Round of 32.
  • The eight best third-placed teams across all groups also advance.
  • From the Round of 32 on, every round is a single knockout match.

Hover or tap a team to see its results.

TeamELOTrend
Champion
Round of 32Round of 16QuarterfinalsSemifinalsFinalistChampion
2259Start (Pre-tournament): 18% Matchday 1 Completed: 15% Matchday 2 Completed: 15% Matchday 3 Completed: 16% Round of 32 Completed: 19% Round of 16 Completed: 26% Quarterfinals Completed: 30% Semifinals Completed: 55% Tournament Completed: 100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
2173Start (Pre-tournament): 14% Matchday 1 Completed: 16% Matchday 2 Completed: 19% Matchday 3 Completed: 21% Round of 32 Completed: 21% Round of 16 Completed: 24% Quarterfinals Completed: 29% Semifinals Completed: 45% Tournament Completed: —100%100%100%100%100%—
2125Start (Pre-tournament): 7% Matchday 1 Completed: 8% Matchday 2 Completed: 6% Matchday 3 Completed: 6% Round of 32 Completed: 7% Round of 16 Completed: 13% Quarterfinals Completed: 17% Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%100%100%——
2070Start (Pre-tournament): 9% Matchday 1 Completed: 12% Matchday 2 Completed: 13% Matchday 3 Completed: 16% Round of 32 Completed: 19% Round of 16 Completed: 20% Quarterfinals Completed: 24% Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%100%100%——
1928Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 2% Matchday 3 Completed: 2% Round of 32 Completed: 3% Round of 16 Completed: 4% Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%100%———
1947Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: 2% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Round of 32 Completed: 2% Round of 16 Completed: 4% Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%100%———
1952Start (Pre-tournament): 3% Matchday 1 Completed: 3% Matchday 2 Completed: 4% Matchday 3 Completed: 2% Round of 32 Completed: 3% Round of 16 Completed: 5% Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%100%———
1901Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Round of 32 Completed: 2% Round of 16 Completed: 3% Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%100%———
1993Start (Pre-tournament): 5% Matchday 1 Completed: 5% Matchday 2 Completed: 4% Matchday 3 Completed: 5% Round of 32 Completed: 7% Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%————
2003Start (Pre-tournament): 5% Matchday 1 Completed: 6% Matchday 2 Completed: 6% Matchday 3 Completed: 6% Round of 32 Completed: 5% Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%————
1913Start (Pre-tournament): 3% Matchday 1 Completed: 3% Matchday 2 Completed: 3% Matchday 3 Completed: 3% Round of 32 Completed: 4% Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%————
1746Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: 3% Matchday 2 Completed: 4% Matchday 3 Completed: 2% Round of 32 Completed: 2% Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%————
1995Start (Pre-tournament): 5% Matchday 1 Completed: 4% Matchday 2 Completed: 5% Matchday 3 Completed: 4% Round of 32 Completed: 5% Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%————
1814Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: 1% Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%————
1729Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: <1% Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%————
1742Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: <1% Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%100%————
1970Start (Pre-tournament): 3% Matchday 1 Completed: 3% Matchday 2 Completed: 4% Matchday 3 Completed: 4% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1907Start (Pre-tournament): 3% Matchday 1 Completed: 3% Matchday 2 Completed: 3% Matchday 3 Completed: 2% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1888Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: 2% Matchday 2 Completed: 2% Matchday 3 Completed: 2% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1881Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 2% Matchday 3 Completed: 2% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1871Start (Pre-tournament): 3% Matchday 1 Completed: 2% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1821Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1816Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1794Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1731Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1756Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1728Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1704Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1605Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1560Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1619Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1571Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: —100%—————
1841Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1852Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: — Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1764Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1723Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1745Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1680Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1658Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: — Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1631Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1596Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1628Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: — Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1517Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: — Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1534Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1561Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1562Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: — Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1438Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————
1411Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Round of 32 Completed: — Round of 16 Completed: — Quarterfinals Completed: — Semifinals Completed: — Tournament Completed: ———————