⚽ Soccer Predictor

Soccer Predictor v1.0.0
Data updated daily

Simulation Live

2026-27 UEFA Nations League A Projections

Discover real-time probabilities for group qualification and championship outcomes calculated using historical Elo ratings and Monte Carlo match engines.

ENA
Tournament
2026-27 UEFA Nations League A

Monte Carlo Projections

Based on 10,000 simulation runs. Last updated: 10/18/2026, 10:18:17 AM

How it works

  • The top two teams in each group reach the quarterfinals, two-legged ties in which each group winner faces a runner-up from another group.
  • The four quarterfinal winners play the Finals (semifinals and final) in June 2027.
  • The two lowest-ranked 4th-placed teams are relegated to League B automatically (Auto Relegation).
  • The two other 4th-placed teams and the two lowest-ranked 3rd-placed teams play two-legged playoffs against League B runners-up; the losers are relegated.
  • Relegation covers both routes: automatic, or by losing a playoff.

Hover or tap a team to see its results.

TeamGroupELOTrend
Champion
Win GroupQuarterfinalsSemifinalsFinalistChampionAuto RelegationRelegation
A12104Start (Pre-tournament): 12% Matchday 1 Completed: 14% Matchday 2 Completed: 16% Matchday 3 Completed: 13% Matchday 4 Completed: 16% Current Projections: 16%90%>99%70%39%16%——
A11956Start (Pre-tournament): 4% Matchday 1 Completed: 6% Matchday 2 Completed: 4% Matchday 3 Completed: 4% Matchday 4 Completed: 2% Current Projections: 2%2%60%24%8%2%<1%2%
A11910Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Matchday 4 Completed: 1% Current Projections: 1%9%40%15%5%1%—1%
A11768Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: ——————71%82%
A21974Start (Pre-tournament): 5% Matchday 1 Completed: 4% Matchday 2 Completed: 4% Matchday 3 Completed: 4% Matchday 4 Completed: 4% Current Projections: 4%65%85%31%12%4%—<1%
A21895Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: 3% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Matchday 4 Completed: 1% Current Projections: 1%8%27%6%2%1%<1%6%
A21804Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Matchday 4 Completed: <1% Current Projections: 1%27%88%11%3%1%—<1%
A21683Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: ——————41%70%
A32287Start (Pre-tournament): 44% Matchday 1 Completed: 49% Matchday 2 Completed: 48% Matchday 3 Completed: 47% Matchday 4 Completed: 46% Current Projections: 46%88%100%92%67%46%——
A32146Start (Pre-tournament): 18% Matchday 1 Completed: 12% Matchday 2 Completed: 13% Matchday 3 Completed: 19% Matchday 4 Completed: 19% Current Projections: 19%12%>99%70%39%19%—<1%
A31856Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: 2% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Matchday 4 Completed: <1% Current Projections: <1%—<1%<1%<1%<1%4%30%
A31656Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: ——————82%92%
A42055Start (Pre-tournament): 6% Matchday 1 Completed: 5% Matchday 2 Completed: 7% Matchday 3 Completed: 8% Matchday 4 Completed: 8% Current Projections: 8%>99%100%55%17%8%——
A41900Start (Pre-tournament): 4% Matchday 1 Completed: 4% Matchday 2 Completed: 3% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Matchday 4 Completed: 1% Current Projections: 1%—38%11%4%1%<1%15%
A41861Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Matchday 4 Completed: 1% Current Projections: 1%<1%60%15%4%1%<1%10%
A41681Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Matchday 4 Completed: <1% Current Projections: <1%—2%<1%<1%<1%2%51%