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Soccer Predictor v1.0.0
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2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League A Projections

Discover real-time probabilities for group qualification and championship outcomes calculated using historical Elo ratings and Monte Carlo match engines.

CLA
Tournament
2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League A

Monte Carlo Projections

Based on 10,000 simulation runs. Last updated: 10/18/2026, 10:18:42 AM

How it works

  • Mexico, the United States, Canada and Panama are seeded straight into the quarterfinals.
  • The other 12 teams play four matches each in two groups of six; the top two in each group join the seeds in two-legged quarterfinals.
  • The quarterfinal winners qualify for the 2027 Gold Cup and play the Finals (semifinals and final) in Los Angeles in March 2027.
  • The 5th- and 6th-placed teams in each group are relegated to League B.

Hover or tap a team to see its results.

TeamELOTrend
Champion
QuarterfinalsSemifinalsFinalistChampionRelegation
United States flagUnited States1792Start (Pre-tournament): 26% Matchday 1 Completed: 27% Matchday 2 Completed: 29% Matchday 3 Completed: 32% Matchday 4 Completed: 35% Current Projections: 34%100%79%54%34%—
Mexico flagMexico1868Start (Pre-tournament): 44% Matchday 1 Completed: 46% Matchday 2 Completed: 42% Matchday 3 Completed: 39% Matchday 4 Completed: 35% Current Projections: 34%100%87%57%34%—
Canada flagCanada1739Start (Pre-tournament): 14% Matchday 1 Completed: 14% Matchday 2 Completed: 15% Matchday 3 Completed: 15% Matchday 4 Completed: 15% Current Projections: 16%100%77%37%16%—
Panama flagPanama1654Start (Pre-tournament): 8% Matchday 1 Completed: 7% Matchday 2 Completed: 8% Matchday 3 Completed: 7% Matchday 4 Completed: 8% Current Projections: 9%100%71%26%9%—
1563Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 2% Matchday 3 Completed: 4% Matchday 4 Completed: 3% Current Projections: 3%100%21%7%3%—
1524Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Matchday 4 Completed: 2% Current Projections: 2%100%23%7%2%—
1543Start (Pre-tournament): 1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Matchday 4 Completed: 1% Current Projections: 1%100%13%5%1%—
1491Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Matchday 4 Completed: 1% Current Projections: 1%100%29%7%1%—
1587Start (Pre-tournament): 3% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: ——————
1530Start (Pre-tournament): 2% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: ——————
1455Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: 1% Matchday 2 Completed: 1% Matchday 3 Completed: 1% Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: ——————
1339Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: —————100%
1331Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: ——————
1324Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: —————100%
1310Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: <1% Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: —————100%
1255Start (Pre-tournament): <1% Matchday 1 Completed: <1% Matchday 2 Completed: <1% Matchday 3 Completed: — Matchday 4 Completed: — Current Projections: —————100%